Feature: Fault Lines in the Politics of Primitive Grievance

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Nigeria is not an easy country to govern. Not because Nigerians are difficult people, but because the country itself was built on delicate political balances that cannot be ignored without consequences.

This is where many politicians and even supporters often get it wrong. They reduce every national conversation to constitutionality, electoral victory, or political strength, as though Nigeria were an ordinary society with ordinary political fault lines.

It is not.

Nigeria carries too many historical suspicions, ethnic sensitivities, regional anxieties, religious differences, and unresolved grievances for leadership to operate with a winner-takes-all mindset.

That is why, over the years, political leaders tried, formally and informally, to manage the country through balancing arrangements. Federal character. Zoning. Power rotation. Spread of appointments. Deliberate inclusion.

None of these arrangements was perfect. None solved Nigeria’s problems completely. But they helped to calm fears and reduce the feeling that one section alone controlled the national space.

That balance matters more in Nigeria than many people want to admit.

In more stable countries, citizens may not pay attention to where each appointment comes from or which region holds political power at any given time. Nigeria is different. People watch these things closely because history has taught them to.

Whether right or wrong, many Nigerians still judge the health of the federation through representation, balance, and visible inclusion.

That reality cannot simply be waved aside by saying, “It is constitutional.”

In Nigeria, many things may pass the constitutional test and still fail the fairness test.

And once people begin to feel excluded, politically invisible, or repeatedly overlooked, distrust quietly grows beneath the surface. That is how national unity weakens, not always through open conflict, but through accumulated resentment.

This is why perception matters in leadership.

A government may believe it is making the right decisions, but if large sections of the country consistently perceive imbalance, the political damage eventually becomes real.

Not everything constitutional is necessarily fair.

It is also important to be honest enough to admit that Nigeria’s problems did not suddenly begin in 2023. Many of the structural distortions, economic weaknesses, institutional decay, and national distrusts troubling the country today were born long before this administration came into office. In truth, some of them were born with the country itself.

By 2023, Nigeria was already in very serious condition economically and structurally. The country was practically prepared for a major surgery. Painful decisions were almost inevitable regardless of who became president.

That surgery has since taken place and, understandably, the country has remained in an ICU phase afterward, with citizens still dealing with the pain, uncertainty, and pressure that naturally follow deep economic reforms.

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, like every leader, is not without human limitations and political missteps. Criticism in a democracy is both legitimate and necessary. But it would also be unfair to pretend that this administration has avoided confronting difficult problems. On many critical issues, the President has largely approached Nigeria’s long-standing challenges headlong rather than postponing them yet again for another government.

Whether one agrees with every policy or not, honesty demands acknowledging the depth of the crisis that existed before the present administration and the political risk involved in taking on some of those decisions.

At the same time, there must also be honesty and restraint from the opposition and political actors outside power. Not every national issue should be weaponized into regional hostility, public outrage, or political warfare.

There is now a dangerous culture where every perceived imbalance, whether real or exaggerated, is immediately amplified in the harshest possible manner just to inflame passions and keep the political atmosphere permanently toxic.

That too is dangerous for Nigeria.

Opposition is legitimate in a democracy. Holding government accountable is necessary. Citizens have every right to question appointments, policies, and political conduct. But there is a difference between constructive opposition and deliberately manufacturing anger for political capital.

Once politics becomes driven entirely by bitterness, resentment, and endless grievance mobilisation, national stability itself begins to suffer.

That is not politics.

That is not nationalism.

It is a reductionist approach to politics rooted largely in primitive grievance, where every conversation is stripped of nuance and reduced to emotional incitement.

A fragile country like Nigeria cannot continue permanently on that path.

The country survives largely because past leaders, despite their flaws, understood the need to manage national political fault lines carefully. They understood that leadership in Nigeria is not only about exercising power, but also about carrying people along psychologically and emotionally.

Sometimes the real duty of leadership is reassurance.

Not domination.

Not political chest beating.

Not reminding others who won elections.

A country as delicate as Nigeria requires sensitivity from those in power and maturity from those outside power.

Unfortunately, our politics today is becoming increasingly combative, triumphalist, and emotionally overheated from all sides. Once people raise issues around balance or inclusion, they are quickly branded as bitter, tribal, or anti-government. At the same time, genuine national concerns are sometimes hijacked and turned into political weapons by people who profit from division and public anger.

Nigeria cannot continue like this from both ends.

Not every concern about fairness is hatred.

And not every political disagreement should become a national emergency.

Sometimes people simply want to feel that the country belongs to them too.

That is not an unreasonable expectation in a federation as fragile and as complicated as Nigeria.

Nigeria cannot afford a politics permanently built on suspicion, bitterness, provocation, and endless grievance. Neither government nor opposition should push the country into an atmosphere where every disagreement becomes warfare, and every national conversation degenerates into hostility.

This country is too fragile, too complicated, and too historically burdened for that kind of reckless political culture.

At some point, both leadership and opposition must rise above the temptation of emotional manipulation and sectional advantage. Nigeria will only survive through balance, restraint, inclusion, political maturity, and a conscious effort not to inflame the very fault lines holding the federation together.

Because once those fault lines are carelessly overstretched, history shows that repairing national trust becomes far more difficult than destroying it.

Femi Adefemiwa is a global Nigerian, public communicator, and advocate for good governance. He is the author of “Remote Working From Africa: A Practical Guide” and writes from the United States of America. He can be reached at jerome.adefemiwa@gmail.com.

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